With the 2012-13 television season now at an end, it’s time to play my favorite guessing game — predicting the Emmy Award nominations! Over the next several weeks leading up to the announcement of the nominations on July 18, I will be posting my thoughts on who will make the cut in all of the major categories. First up…Best Actress in a Drama Series!
Last year’s winner, Homeland‘s Claire Danes, had another stellar season this year, so she is a shoo-in for a nomination, and could easily pick up a second trophy for playing Carrie Mathison. (It would be her third Emmy win, including her victory in the miniseries category for Temple Grandin). A bit of backlash toward the end of the second season of the Showtime hit, however, may make room for an upstart to steal the top prize — possibly Bates Motel‘s Vera Farmiga, who is making her series debut on the A&E show and earned raves for her unsettling (and brilliant) portrayal of a teenage Norman Bates’ mother Norma. (For more on Farmiga’s performance, read my post Bates Motel and the Power of Surprising Television.)
Assuming former winner Juliana Margulies is back on the list (and she should be for her always excellent work on The Good Wife), that leaves three open spots. Downton Abbey‘s Michelle Dockery and Mad Men‘s Elisabeth Moss both made the cut last year (along with Damages‘ Glenn Close and Harry’s Law‘s Kathy Bates), and I wouldn’t be surprised to see either of them repeat. However, they may have some competition from Keri Russell, who is doing career-redefining work on The Americans; Connie Britton, who the Academy clearly loves, having nominated her twice for Friday Night Lights and last year for American Horror Story; and even Tatiana Maslany, who picked up a Critics Choice Award nomination for her multifaceted performance on BBC America’s Orphan Black.
I think the real wild card here, though, is Kerry Washington on Scandal. While not garnering the critical respect of some of the other shows on this list, it is one of the hottest shows on television right now, and Washington is the television “it” girl of the season. Could she manage to sneak in, or is hers the kind of performance more likely to be recognized at the Golden Globes?
Here’s how I think things will shake out:
Connie Britton, Nashville
Claire Danes, Homeland
Vera Farmiga, Bates Motel
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Kerry Washington, Scandal
Did I leave anyone out? Let me know your predictions for who will be nominated!
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